Brazil premiums rocket 70 cents on China soybean tax threat

4 Apr 2018 | Andy Allan

Premiums for Brazilian soybeans over futures contracts spiked at least 70 cents on Wednesday on the expectation of greater demand from China after the world's biggest bean buyer said it would tax US imports of soybeans.

Soybean front-month futures on the Chicago Board of Trade fell around 40 cents on the day to about $10/bu at time of press after news of the tax plans broke.

But while futures fell, premiums in Brazil rocketed, with sources saying June and July paper traded at a 190-cent premium over July futures for loading in the summer months, up more than 70 cents on where beans were being offered on Tuesday.

With futures at $10.14 for July, that translates to $443/mt FOB Paranagua.

The Brazilian premium is around 120 cents per bushel higher than the last US Gulf offers reported for June loading, and almost 100 cents per bushel higher than the last PNW trades heard for June loading.

However, brokers and sources reported no offers for US beans as the market digested the news.

On Wednesday, China said it would soon tax imports of 106 US products at 25% after the US said on Tuesday it would tax 1,333 Chinese products by the same amount over allegations of state-backed intellectual property theft.

Last year, China imported 32 million mt of US beans, according to US export data.